tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:19 DAL → 15:31 ATL
    DL 1115 · Delta · 2h 12m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 ATL → 17:49 SDF
    DL 1126 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 30mDAL 12:19 to SDF 17:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.