tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:55 LGA → 14:51 DTW
    DL 1122 · Delta · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 DTW → 20:12 LAX
    DL 852 · Delta · 4h 52m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 17mLGA 12:55 to LAX 20:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.