tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:52 BOS → 17:05 MSP
    DL 1127 · Delta · 3h 14m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 18mBOS 14:52 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.