tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:48 DTW → 19:48 MCO
    DL 1133 · Delta · 3h 00m · 64% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 MCO → 22:59 DCA
    DL 2729 · Delta · 2h 19m · 70% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 11mDTW 16:48 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.