tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:15 BOS → 09:30 MSP
    DL 1138 · Delta · 3h 15m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:32 MSP → 12:46 PHX
    DL 2274 · Delta · 3h 18m · 81% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 35mBOS 07:15 to PHX 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.