tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:32 CVG → 16:09 ATL
    DL 1140 · Delta · 1h 37m · 64% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 ATL → 18:52 TPA
    DL 1594 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 20mCVG 14:32 to TPA 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.