tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:32 CVG → 16:09 ATL
    DL 1140 · Delta · 1h 37m · 64% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ATL → 19:56 MIA
    DL 1631 · Delta · 2h 11m · 51% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 24mCVG 14:32 to MIA 19:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.