tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 60%

  1. 20:40 SLC → 21:45 LAX
    DL 1142 · Delta · 2h 05m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 30mSLC 20:40 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.