tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 74%

  1. 16:09 IAH → 17:30 LAX
    DL 1143 · Delta · 3h 21m · 76% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 LAX → 20:25 SMF
    DL 3759 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 16mIAH 16:09 to SMF 20:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.