tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:23 ORD → 14:25 ATL
    DL 1147 · Delta · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:11 ATL → 15:26 PNS
    DL 1013 · Delta · 1h 15m · 84% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 03mORD 11:23 to PNS 15:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.