tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:23 ORD → 14:25 ATL
    DL 1147 · Delta · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:12 ATL → 16:13 AVL
    DL 2037 · Delta · 1h 00m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip3h 49mORD 11:23 to AVL 16:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.