tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:23 ORD → 14:25 ATL
    DL 1147 · Delta · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 17:23 ROC
    DL 2047 · Delta · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 00mORD 11:23 to ROC 17:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.