tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:23 ORD → 14:25 ATL
    DL 1147 · Delta · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 01mORD 11:23 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.