tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:23 ORD → 14:25 ATL
    DL 1147 · Delta · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:17 SRQ
    DL 3109 · Delta · 1h 39m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 54mORD 11:23 to SRQ 17:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.