tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:54 TYS → 17:05 ATL
    DL 1148 · Delta · 1h 11m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 ATL → 21:03 IAD
    DL 1309 · Delta · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 10mTYS 15:54 to IAD 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.