tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:54 TYS → 17:05 ATL
    DL 1148 · Delta · 1h 11m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 33mTYS 15:54 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.