tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:27 MEM → 11:46 ATL
    DL 1149 · Delta · 1h 19m · 88% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 ATL → 14:16 ORD
    DL 1477 · Delta · 2h 14m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 49mMEM 09:27 to ORD 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.