tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:27 MEM → 11:46 ATL
    DL 1149 · Delta · 1h 19m · 88% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 16:15 MDW
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 48mMEM 09:27 to MDW 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.