tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 09:27 MEM → 11:46 ATL
    DL 1149 · Delta · 1h 19m · 88% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 14:18 PHX
    DL 366 · Delta · 3h 48m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 51mMEM 09:27 to PHX 14:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.