tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:45 MCO → 19:40 ATL
    DL 1150 · Delta · 1h 55m · 60% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 ATL → 22:28 SNA
    DL 826 · Delta · 4h 37m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 43mMCO 17:45 to SNA 22:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.