tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:19 RSW → 15:08 ATL
    DL 1153 · Delta · 1h 49m · 81% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ATL → 17:40 MCO
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 40m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 21mRSW 13:19 to MCO 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.