tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:53 BNA → 13:04 ATL
    DL 1155 · Delta · 1h 12m · 89% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 ATL → 16:50 TPA
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 57mBNA 10:53 to TPA 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.