tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Philadelphia via Boston: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:25 AUS → 19:41 BOS
    DL 1156 · Delta · 4h 16m · 56% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 BOS → 22:22 PHL
    DL 5610 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 57% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 57mAUS 14:25 to PHL 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.