tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Hebron via Boston: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:25 AUS → 19:41 BOS
    DL 1156 · Delta · 4h 16m · 56% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 BOS → 23:16 CVG
    DL 5801 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 31m · 69% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 51mAUS 14:25 to CVG 23:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.