tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Baltimore via Boston: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:25 AUS → 19:41 BOS
    DL 1156 · Delta · 4h 16m · 56% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BOS → 22:29 BWI
    DL 5851 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 59mAUS 14:25 to BWI 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.