tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:46 SNA → 16:40 SLC
    DL 1159 · Delta · 1h 54m · 72% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 SLC → 18:16 SMF
    DL 2585 · Delta · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 30mSNA 13:46 to SMF 18:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.