tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Tulsa via New York: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:51 MCO → 13:24 LGA
    DL 1164 · Delta · 2h 36m · 84% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:54 LGA → 19:27 TUL
    DL 4630 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 31m · 59% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip9h 34mMCO 10:51 to TUL 19:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.