tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:45 ORD → 12:51 ATL
    DL 1178 · Delta · 2h 06m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 ATL → 15:53 TUL
    DL 1186 · Delta · 2h 01m · 84% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 11mORD 09:45 to TUL 15:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.