tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dayton via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:45 ORD → 12:51 ATL
    DL 1178 · Delta · 2h 06m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 ATL → 17:50 DAY
    DL 3088 · Delta · 1h 33m · 80% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 05mORD 09:45 to DAY 17:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.