tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 08:00 SAN → 15:28 ATL
    DL 1179 · Delta · 4h 28m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 ATL → 17:51 TPA
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 31m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 51mSAN 08:00 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.