tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 52%

  1. 11:00 LGA → 14:04 FLL
    DL 1181 · Delta · 3h 04m · 75% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 FLL → 17:09 RDU
    DL 1018 · Delta · 2h 10m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 09mLGA 11:00 to RDU 17:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.