tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 16:45 TUL → 19:50 ATL
    DL 1186 · Delta · 2h 05m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 ATL → 00:51 MIA +1 day
    DL 1589 · Delta · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 06mTUL 16:45 to MIA 00:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.