tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:45 TUL → 19:50 ATL
    DL 1186 · Delta · 2h 05m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:23 LGA
    DL 520 · Delta · 2h 23m · 72% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 38mTUL 16:45 to LGA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.