tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 16:45 TUL → 19:50 ATL
    DL 1186 · Delta · 2h 05m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 59mTUL 16:45 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.