tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:39 MSP
    DL 1193 · Delta · 2h 39m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 10:14 DSM
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 85% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 14mDCA 06:00 to DSM 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.