tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Valparaiso via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:39 MSP
    DL 1193 · Delta · 2h 39m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 MSP → 13:10 VPS
    DL 2462 · Delta · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 10mDCA 06:00 to VPS 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.