tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:39 MSP
    DL 1193 · Delta · 2h 39m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 MSP → 11:09 XNA
    DL 3536 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 09mDCA 06:00 to XNA 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.