tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Grand Rapids via Minneapolis: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:39 MSP
    DL 1193 · Delta · 2h 39m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 MSP → 10:53 GRR
    DL 3990 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 89% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 53mDCA 06:00 to GRR 10:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.