tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:10 HOU → 16:18 ATL
    DL 1195 · Delta · 2h 08m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 56mHOU 13:10 to SNA 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.