tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 13:10 HOU → 16:18 ATL
    DL 1195 · Delta · 2h 08m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 14mHOU 13:10 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.