tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 13:10 HOU → 16:18 ATL
    DL 1195 · Delta · 2h 08m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 ATL → 18:42 ORD
    DL 2879 · Delta · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 32mHOU 13:10 to ORD 18:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.