tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 ROC → 08:12 ATL
    DL 1200 · Delta · 2h 12m · 86% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:50 ATL → 11:59 PHL
    AA 5037 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 87% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 59mROC 06:00 to PHL 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.