tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 17:40 RIC → 19:30 ATL
    DL 1214 · Delta · 1h 50m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:17 MDW
    DL 1076 · Delta · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 37mRIC 17:40 to MDW 22:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.