tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 17:40 RIC → 19:30 ATL
    DL 1214 · Delta · 1h 50m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 ATL → 20:40 BNA
    DL 790 · Delta · 1h 15m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 00mRIC 17:40 to BNA 20:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.