tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:34 IAH → 21:54 ATL
    DL 1223 · Delta · 2h 20m · 72% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:24 MEM
    DL 2501 · Delta · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 51mIAH 18:34 to MEM 23:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.