tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Kansas City via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:34 IAH → 21:54 ATL
    DL 1223 · Delta · 2h 20m · 72% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:48 ATL → 23:59 MCI
    DL 2911 · Delta · 2h 11m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 25mIAH 18:34 to MCI 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.