tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 18:34 IAH → 21:54 ATL
    DL 1223 · Delta · 2h 20m · 72% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:07 ATL → 00:49 SRQ +1 day
    DL 2997 · Delta · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 11mIAH 18:34 to SRQ 00:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.