tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 37%

  1. 14:50 PVD → 16:50 MSP
    DL 1224 · Delta · 3h 03m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 22:09 JFK
    DL 5244 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 11.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (11.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 19mPVD 14:50 to JFK 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.