tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:50 PVD → 16:50 MSP
    DL 1224 · Delta · 3h 03m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 MSP → 19:30 ORD
    DL 2130 · Delta · 1h 45m · 61% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 40mPVD 14:50 to ORD 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.