tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 14:50 PVD → 16:50 MSP
    DL 1224 · Delta · 3h 03m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 35mPVD 14:50 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.